Q3 2026 13F · SEC CIK 2039415

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Wealth managerFiled 2026-10-19 for Q3 2026. Open the filing ↗ · All SEC filings ↗

Reported 13F value: $892.2M
Reported positions: 71
Holdings vs S&P 500, 3 yrs: —
Assets under management: $1.0B

High Probability Advisors, LLC is a wealth manager that reported 71 positions worth $892.2M in its Q3 2026 13F, filed 2026-10-19. Its largest holdings were Goldman Sachs ETF Tr (GSLC, 14.0%), Ishares Tr (MTUM, 11.8%), Blackrock ETF Trust (DYNF, 7.2%).

High Probability Advisors, LLC holdings largest 50 of 71 positions.

Weights are shares of the filer's total reported 13F value, compared with Q2 2026. Share changes may reflect splits; weight changes also reflect price moves. A 13F shows long US-listed positions only, up to 135 days after the fact.

High Probability Advisors, LLC 13F holdings
Stock	% of 13F value	Q2 2026	Shares	Share change	Reported value
GSLCGoldman Sachs ETF Tr	14.0%	12.6%	859,665	+3.9%	$124.7M
MTUMIshares Tr	11.8%	11.8%	331,536	+3.0%	$105.2M
DYNFBlackrock ETF Trust	7.2%	6.4%	926,100	+5.1%	$64.1M
NYFIshares Tr	6.0%	5.5%	1,066,801	+11.6%	$53.9M
GSIEGoldman Sachs ETF Tr	5.7%	5.2%	1,111,089	+4.5%	$50.9M
DIHPDimensional International High Profitabi	5.2%	4.8%	1,369,650	+4.7%	$46.1M
SCHOSchwab Strategic Tr	4.9%	4.5%	1,839,651	+4.6%	$43.9M
USMVIshares Tr	4.8%	4.3%	436,792	+4.7%	$42.6M
SCHRSchwab Strategic Tr	4.6%	4.2%	1,713,565	+8.8%	$40.6M
FVALFidelity Covington Trust	4.2%	3.7%	460,446	+3.8%	$37.2M
AVUVAmerican Centy ETF Tr	4.0%	3.9%	305,991	+3.5%	$36.0M
SPIBSpdr Series Trust	3.6%	3.4%	981,970	+4.6%	$31.7M
FQALFidelity Covington Trust	3.3%	3.0%	355,494	+4.0%	$29.6M
AVEMAmerican Centy ETF Tr	3.2%	3.0%	300,928	+3.8%	$28.3M
SHYGIshares Tr	2.8%	2.6%	597,162	+5.0%	$24.6M
IUSVIshares Tr	2.4%	2.2%	197,213	+4.2%	$21.7M
IVLUIshares Tr	1.9%	1.7%	391,131	+2.7%	$16.8M
FNDCSchwab Strategic Tr	1.8%	1.6%	318,564	+4.1%	$15.9M
GSSCGoldman Sachs ETF Tr	1.7%	1.7%	173,981	+2.8%	$14.9M
SPTLSpdr Series Trust	1.3%	1.3%	487,111	+7.2%	$11.6M
SPYState Str Spdr S&p 500 ETF T	1.1%	1.0%	12,724	+0.0%	$9.7M
SPLGSpdr Series Trust	0.6%	0.6%	61,971	+5.5%	$5.6M
VTEBVanguard Mun Bd Fds	0.5%	0.5%	96,751	+0.9%	$4.6M
IWVIshares Tr	0.3%	0.2%	5,180	+0.0%	$2.2M
IXUSIshares Tr	0.2%	0.2%	21,762	+5.1%	$2.1M
REZIshares Tr	0.2%	0.2%	23,137	+0.2%	$2.0M
IVVIshares Tr	0.2%	0.2%	2,422	+0.0%	$1.9M
AAPLApple Inc	0.2%	0.1%	4,848	+0.0%	$1.6M
IWDIshares Tr	0.2%	0.2%	6,221	+0.0%	$1.5M
DFACDimensional ETF Trust	0.1%	0.1%	29,474	+0.0%	$1.3M
SPMDSpdr Series Trust	0.1%	0.1%	19,418	+6.4%	$1.2M
ACWXIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	15,908	+0.0%	$1.2M
MSFTMicrosoft Corp	0.1%	0.1%	2,167	+4.8%	$1.1M
SCHBSchwab Strategic Tr	0.1%	0.1%	37,555	+0.5%	$1.1M
IWMIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	3,275	+0.0%	$910K
BNLBroadstone Net Lease Inc	0.1%	0.1%	45,718	-2.8%	$846K
GOOGLAlphabet Inc	0.1%	0.1%	2,145	+0.0%	$738K
IJRIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	4,937	+0.0%	$672K
VEAVanguard Ftse Developed Markets Index Fu	0.1%	0.1%	9,286	+0.0%	$656K
OEFIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	1,610	+0.0%	$615K
TTTrane Technologies PLC	0.1%	0.1%	1,360	+0.0%	$615K
DFATDimensional ETF Trust	0.1%	0.1%	8,672	+0.0%	$576K
ETNEaton Corp PLC	0.1%	0.1%	1,226	+0.0%	$527K
ACWIIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	3,253	+0.0%	$516K
GVIIshares Tr	0.1%	0.1%	4,797	+0.0%	$494K
NVDANvidia Corporation	0.1%	0.0%	2,135	+0.0%	$488K
MUMicron Technology Inc	0.1%	0.1%	432	+0.0%	$460K
IEIIshares Tr	0.1%	0.0%	3,902	+0.0%	$443K
SUSAIshares Tr	0.0%	—	2,591	—	$403K
SPSMSpdr Series Trust	0.0%	—	7,375	—	$390K

What High Probability Advisors, LLC bought and sold in Q3 2026, against Q2 2026.

New positions

Q2 2026's filing was too long to tell new positions apart.

Added to

Reduced

No position shrank by more than 5%.

Left the top 50

DUHP Dimensional ETF Trustwas 7.2%
GBIL Goldman Sachs ETF Trwas 0.1%

Share counts compared with the Q2 2026 13F; a split also changes share counts. The latest filing lists more than 50 positions, so a position that left the top 50 may still be held.

How the holdings did against the S&P 500.

1 year: +9.0% /yr; S&P 500 +11.7%
3 years: —
5 years: —

A portfolio of the filer's 20 largest 13F positions, weighted by value, bought the trading day after each 13F was filed and held until the next one was: what copying this filer could have earned. 13Fs show long US-listed positions only, so this is an estimate of the stock picks, not the fund's reported returns.

Reported 13F value by quarter.

13F value by quarter
Quarter	13F value	Positions
Q3 2026	$892.2M	71
Q2 2026	$935.0M	75
Q1 2026	$781.4M	67
Q4 2025	$749.9M	73
Q3 2025	$729.3M	65
Q2 2025	$668.7M	60
Q1 2025	$599.6M	55
Q4 2024	$557.8M	55
Q3 2024	$587.2M	57
Q2 2024	$551.5M	54

Questions about High Probability Advisors, LLC's portfolio

What stocks does High Probability Advisors, LLC own?

High Probability Advisors, LLC's latest 13F, for Q3 2026 and filed Oct 19, 2026, lists 71 positions worth $892.2M. The largest are Goldman Sachs ETF Tr (GSLC) at 14.0%, Ishares Tr (MTUM) at 11.8%, Blackrock ETF Trust (DYNF) at 7.2%, Ishares Tr (NYF) at 6.0% and Goldman Sachs ETF Tr (GSIE) at 5.7%.

What did High Probability Advisors, LLC buy last quarter?

In Q3 2026, High Probability Advisors, LLC added Ishares Tr (NYF) (+11.6% shares), Schwab Strategic Tr (SCHR) (+8.8% shares) and Spdr Series Trust (SPTL) (+7.2% shares), compared with its Q2 2026 filing.

What did High Probability Advisors, LLC sell last quarter?

In Q3 2026, High Probability Advisors, LLC cut from its top 50 Dimensional ETF Trust (DUHP) and cut from its top 50 Goldman Sachs ETF Tr (GBIL), compared with its Q2 2026 filing.

When is High Probability Advisors, LLC's next 13F filing due?

13F filings are due 45 days after each quarter ends. High Probability Advisors, LLC's filing for the quarter ending Dec 31, 2026 is due by Feb 14, 2027; this page updates the day after it is published.

How much money does High Probability Advisors, LLC manage?

High Probability Advisors, LLC reported $1.0B of regulatory assets under management on its latest SEC Form ADV. Its 13F, which covers only US-listed stocks and options, totals $892.2M.